On Saturday morning, prior to the day's racing, I sent out my newly completed Cheltenham Festival Bulletin to all those who had made a donation in advance. Copies of the bulletin are being sent out daily to new donators and, so far, sales are well up on last year with over 60% of recent donators being new donators to the blog. A big thank you to those who have received a copy of the bulletin.
If you want a copy then press the donate button on this page and donate at least £8 (you can donate more if you like, as the advice I provide in this blog is well worth an additional contribution) and I will send out the bulletin - pdf version - to your email address this evening.
Those who receive the bulletin will also receive drafts of my daily blog pages on the evening before racing during the week of the Cheltenham Festival so that they can take advantage of any early value that I spot before anyone else.
If you are reading this blog then you know that I take my horseracing seriously and that I make it pay. Since 1st November 2012, I reckon I'm in profit by over 80pts to recommended stakes, and even if you've followed this blog only since 1st January then you are well ahead. I make a point of targeting Saturdays as that's the day most people have a wager and if you've followed my advised Saturday wagers this year (since 1st January) then you'd be still be well ahead:
5th January: 2.50pts staked, 10.25pts returned = 7.75pts profit
12th January: 2.50pts staked, nil return = 2.50pts lost
19th January: no racing
26th January: 4.00pts staked, 12.40pts return = 8.40pts profit
2nd February: 3.50pts staked, 9.00pts return = 5.50pts profit
9th February, 2.00pts staked, nil return = 2.00pts lost
16th February, 4.50pts staked, 7.50pts return = 3.00pts profit
Total Saturday profit in 2013 = 20.15pts on an outlay of 19.00pts
There is a decent meeting at Carlisle today and it looks like there is a potential opportunity there for a speculative eachway double. I don't normally go in for doubles, but the odds on these 2 horses make an eachway double attractive. The 3:40 at Carlisle is a 3m2f, Class 2, handicap chase and the market has Venetia William's Emperor's Choice as the 9/4 fav. I like this horse, and it is on my alert list so I'm expecting a good run. Thing is, there are a couple in this who could well give this horse something to think about, namely Markadam and My Boy Paddy. Markadam loves Carlisle and won here LTO, but he's been raised 12lb for that win and that may enough to stop his progress. It is MY BOY PADDY who looks the best value, as he is the only runner today at Carlisle for Twiston-Davies and the only ride for his son, Sam. MY BOY PADDY found the trip at Bangor LTO over 3m6f a bit too much and this drop today to 3m2f should suit him. He will handle the heavy ground too, and for a 9yo he hasn't had much racing and there's likely to be improvement in him. At odds of 8/1, he is likely to be in the 1st-3 and may even sneak a win if luck goes his way.
In the next race, I am tempted to have another wager on Billy Cuckoo who I supported when he ran last week and bravely tried to make all till losing the lead in the final 100 yards. This slight drop in trip will suit him, but he's been raised 4lb for that run LTO and he's not really been improving in his recent runs, merely running consistently in my opinion. As such, he could be found out again by a better handicapped horse, and another in the field who has also been running consistently well and seems to have been overlooked is ET MAINTENANT. Currently at 11/1 (William Hill), he's been campaigned over longer trips than this 2m4f recently, but he was 3rd in this race last year on heavy ground off OR112, and he's on OR110 today yet comes here in form as good as (if not better) than last year.
Selections:
Carlisle 3:40, MY BOY PADDY @ 8/1, & Carlisle 4:10, ET MAINTENANT @ 11/1
½pt eachway double with William Hill
Thanks for reading this blog and I hope you get enjoyment from it.
If you have a successful wager on the back of what you read here (and with over 500 regular readers, I'm assuming plenty do - that's why they keep coming back), then please make a contribution as an expression of thanks via the donate button.
Remember - gambling on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Thanks from Wayward Lad
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