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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

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Monday 11 October 2010

Add THE LAST DERBY to your alert list

In today’s blog:-
Review of last week’s horseracing
Today’s Horseracing

Review of last weeks’s horseracing

There was no blog on Saturday (I was “pressed” into gardening duties).
The good thing about last week’s racing was that we finally said goodbye to the flat season, and a warm “hello” to the jumps. Friday’s blog was successful in suggesting OVERQUEST as a “lay”, tho’ it was close! The horse was clear 3-out and touched 1.10 in-running. It was only after the last that he lost the lead, and was beaten into 2nd.

On Saturday, there were 3 jumps meetings – yet none were on terrestrial tv! Paul Nicholls always hits the ground running, and he sent out 4 winners from 9 runners (with 3 others placed). Phil Hobbs also had 4 winners from his 10 runners (also having 3 others placed). You may recall that on 3rd August, I said the following about BALLYCARNEY; “his 2nd to Putney Bridge was a cracking run (gave him 8lb then and would now receive 14lb – so no wonder he was btn 12 lengths). He didn’t stay 28f LTO (race won by stablemate Ouzbeck) so this return to 3-mile will suit him.” As luck would have it, he was beaten that day (did not stay the 3m 1½f trip – not 3 mile as stated on 3rd-Aug), but he’s won both his races since, including on Saturday at 8/1 when racing over 3-mile. Read the blog and take note - I don't just give a list of selections.

Over in Ireland yesterday, the Munster National was run at Limerick. This can be a good race to find horses to follow. Last year, Paddy Pub came 3rd and won his next start, and Operation Houdini who was 4th won 3 of his next 4 starts. As such, it may be that the 1st-2 home yesterday could have had a hard race. However, the 6yo in 3rd Tinakelly Lad ran well, as the “good” going was far too quick for him and when he’s racing on “heavy” he will show marked improvement. There was a lot of money for THE LAST DERBY in this race, and the booking of Barry Geraghty was eye-catching. The horse has only had 7 chase runs, and he’s now almost certainly slipped back to the OR130 mark off which he won a listed handicap chase at Ascot last October; take note!

Followers of Kauto Star may be interested to know that his 4yo half-brother KAUTO STONE won at Auteuil in France yesterday. He was offered for sale at Brightwells in April 2007 as a 2yo for £90,000 but there were no takers. I thought he may be offered at this autumn’s Cheltenham “Horses in Training“ Sale, but he’s not entered. Perhaps he will secure the final “wild card” entry on the back of this win.

Today’s Horseracing
There are no jumps meetings today, and I am not spending time scratching for a winner at any of the flat meetings on offer.

No selection today for the blog.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

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