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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

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Wednesday 21 July 2010

Ertikaan the value

The rain looks like its staying away from Sandown, and the going remains Good-to-Firm. There's been a market move for Andrew Baldings' Kakatosi in the 7:40 since the withdrawal of Henry Candy's runner (The Confessor). Can't understand it myself as Kakatosi only just won LTO and has been raised 6lb by the handicapper for this. Ditto, the Johnston horse Sailorman, who was 2nd off OR82 LTO and now runs off OR85. Neither of those trainers has a spectacular strike-rate; but that's not the case with Mick Jarvis who has a 23% strike-rate with 3yo's here.
With ERTIKAAN now 4/1 he is easily the value punt as he looks like he's still improving.

Selection:
Sandown 7:40 ERTIKAAN, 2pts win @ 4/1 (available generally, but best odds guaranteed with Vic Chandler)

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